ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax


Black-Scholes is technology. Used wisely, and not pushed beyond its limits, it is very valuable.
But when it, or other mathematical methods, is used recklessly it can produce disaster. So while the creation and rational pricing of derivatives can reduce risk, they have great potential for abuse.
A car is a great way to get around, but if you zip along at 100 mph something very bad is likely to happen.
Warren Buffet, with a more than five-sigma measured IQ, a photographic long-term memory, and a life-long passion for economics, finance and investing, uses a definition of "risk" that makes sense and is accepted by many economists.
The financial derivatives promoters, who are originally academic careerists, use the word "risk" in a misleading way simply to label a statistical concept. Then they take their misnomer for reality.
Which group and which version of risk would you trust with your retirement money?
For even more abstract theory on the optimum societal allocation of risk-bearing in capital markets, see the work of Kenneth J. Arrow.
Bob,
It would be easier to respond to your post if you defined what you see as the conflicting definitions of risk involved.
My understanding of risk is variance in the distribution of returns. This is often broken down a number of ways, including distinguishing between systematic and non-systematic risk. Yes, these are statistical concepts, and the definition is not exactly what most people think of as financial risk, which tends to be taken as "risk of loss." But it is not "misleading," any more than a physicist's definition of "weight," which is not quite the same as the common usage of the word, is misleading.
Both definitions are useful, but it's important to keep in mind which one is being used in a given discussion.