ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax


supply and demand, or long term wealth -- jury selection is "perverse" (if you know anything about economics have you ever been on a jury for an insurance or malpractice case?) and the odds of an adverse outcome times the penalty weigh heavily against investing in new vaccines (or old ones to BOOT!)
Since the government does not own a vaccine production facility and if vaccines are a public good, then the only way for the government to ensure supplies is to contract with a production facility for produce a certain amount of a certain strain every year.
Thus, the government would have to use a fixed price plus incentives or a cost plus contract. Either one would produce a known amount every year but would to it at higher costs than today.
The economics would be similiar to defense contracting today which is usually not held up as a cost effective method of production.
Whenever the government places itself as the primary consumer of a product in a given market, an artificial equilibrium price is necessary. As go rent controls, so go vaccines. From what I learned in Econ I, a price ceiling will produce a shortage and a price floor will create a surplus. I would have to guess that the wrench in the works for the vaccine question would be those regulations that are hostile to many of the (former) vaccine producers.
The Government set the Price floor itself. The cost of flus vaccine would drop, if Government stopped buying vaccine. The economic losses from endurance of the disease does not warrant the expenditure in vaccine. Car accidents cause more disabilities and death than the flu, but should the Government buy all the cars to insure they are accident-proof, then give them away free?
There would be sufficient vaccine at reasonable cost, if the Government did three things: stop giving it away for free, stop Company liability if it met Government specifications as a safe vaccine, and start taxing Drug manufacturers the same as other manufacturers with normal Capitalization and Recapitalization allowances. lgl