Death of Newspapers

The Silo mentality is present, but not truly the inhibiting factor. The problem is the Forum. Journalism wants to maintain it's lofty symbolism, but faces the ability of the Non-ordained to reach as great a Readership as themselves. They will have to go fully Online, except for local Printouts; there will one day be local area Printers who print 50-100 separate Newspapers per day, paying so much per copy.

Newspapers will evolve into a R&E mechanisn, searching the Net, finding good Pieces, checking the accuracy of the Piece, paying a royalty for publication, and publishing it; without any consideration of who was the Author. Newspapers, Magazines, etc. will survive, but only in a form desired by their Readership. lgl

It's probably even worse than this. The Instapundit has referred a number of times to studies showing that newspapers are inflating their circulation numbers.

I think we are about to see a huge transformation of just about all media.

Few people read newspapers when they can get what they want online.

young people are tuning out on TV since we can download all the shows we want, when we want, with no ads, or just view it on DVD via netflix

Now podcasting is starting to be a big thing. Why listen to radio when i can download shows i like, the music i like, and have no ads.

The problem i see with this new future is how to ensure that people don't get totaly stuck in a echo chamber.

If we all start to just read the news we want to read, we will go even farther away from being well infomred. We already see this shift in cable news, where they are targeting specific people instead of trying to inform the masses.
How do people get that piece of information when they get stuck in there own little media world?

Newspapers have survived radio, TV and I predict they will survive the internet. I checked the newspaper stocks on Yahoo. They seem to be profitable and sales are growing. I would guess that local advertisers like local papers for advertising better than their alternatives. Their readership may be going down since 1967, but there has been a lot of new competition since then. I would guess it would level soon.
Newspapers and TV news are getting in the most trouble when they are dishonest and/or try to control the news. The obvious case is Dan Rather. The newspaper that theatened the blogger also was trying to control the news by preventing any criticism. Any powerful organization would hate to lose its influence to a bunch of ankle-biting bloggers who are writing in their pajamas.

I have been a fan of Arnold's Club/Silo example since I first stumbled upon it a few years ago (2000-ish). Back in January 1997, I actually organized (very quickly) what was probably the first multi-vendor downloadable software vendor sold though a major ESD system. Digital River was just starting up and they were eager to experiment.

But... reading this post, I wonder if club/silo in this context isn't just a polite variation of "information wants to be free". During the mid-1990s, AOL was the ultimate club. Back in the day, there was Prodigy, CompuServe, AppleLink/eWorld. Lots of information providers grouped under one umbrella, tied together by dial-up accounts. And those services as information services all succumbed to the Internet. If 5 of the major newspapers of record formed a "club" for their online content, and still insisted on paid accounts, display ads, and draconian linking policies, how would that be much different in the eyes of the Internet (which, as the politically correct lore goes, routes around all obstacles) from them doing it individually?

What I'm saying here is it may not be the silo mentality that is killing them. It may be a declining public-perceived value of information, maybe just newsie information or maybe of digital goods in general. Or the papers may not really be dying. Circulation may be down, people may not like that they have to register to view stories online, etc. But they may be eeking out a profit being selective about who gets to read their stuff. That is possible too.

There is already convergence between blogging and reporting. Many newspapers and "MSM" sites include discussion forums and even blogs. Some even have online chats!

The challenge is for the newspaper to make this profitable. Many bloggers don't have this problem. They are either academics who have the ability to use university resources to maintain their blogs; others are funded by political or commerical interest groups who support the bloggers agendas.