January 5, 2010
The Economics of the Microsoft Case
January 5, 2010
The Economics of Illegal Drugs
January 5, 2010
Intellectuals and Society
January 5, 2010
Thinking Outside the House
January 5, 2010
FP2P Watch
January 5, 2010
The Books I Wish My Colleagues Would Write
January 4, 2010
Predictably Irrational or Predictably Rational?
January 4, 2010
My Sowell-mate on the Knowledge-Power Discrepancy
January 4, 2010
FP2P Watch


From the Cafe Hayek article:
"Study Finds One-third of Medical Studies are Wrong"
Perhaps the study itself has a 1/3 chance at being wrong....
Wouldn't this imply that you should find a well informed Bayesian physician? The additional information from new studies can't be totally useless (even with such a high error rate), especially if the literature is well-developed, as seems to be the case with most conditions. Even studies of specific treatments seem to be replicated several times.
1, Find a doctor who will confirm that you are sick. (80% of "sick" are imaginary)
2. Go to a hospital with a broad medical staff who talk to each other and therefore have access to maximum knowledge in the least time. and facilities for confirmation.
Why would you think the studies of 30 years ago were any better than those of today?
The doctor to see is the one who directs your medical treatment based on your results, not just study results. The differences between individual response to many drug treatments are significant.