BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program
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From the Cafe Hayek article:
"Study Finds One-third of Medical Studies are Wrong"
Perhaps the study itself has a 1/3 chance at being wrong....
Wouldn't this imply that you should find a well informed Bayesian physician? The additional information from new studies can't be totally useless (even with such a high error rate), especially if the literature is well-developed, as seems to be the case with most conditions. Even studies of specific treatments seem to be replicated several times.
1, Find a doctor who will confirm that you are sick. (80% of "sick" are imaginary)
2. Go to a hospital with a broad medical staff who talk to each other and therefore have access to maximum knowledge in the least time. and facilities for confirmation.
Why would you think the studies of 30 years ago were any better than those of today?
The doctor to see is the one who directs your medical treatment based on your results, not just study results. The differences between individual response to many drug treatments are significant.