BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


Local governments aren't recession-proof, they are recession-lagged.
The NBER official dates for the last recession are March-November 2001. The management consulting firm that I worked for at the time serves state and local governments. We continued expanding staff and opened a new office. It was not until late 2002 that spending cutbacks in our clients finally caught up with us... and the partners took me up on my suggestion of closing down the Miami office that I managed to save money.
A bit later I worked with them to analyze IT spending for LA County. The numbers are instructive. Total IT staffing at the County:
FY02 - 3,120
FY03 - 3,255
FY04 - 2,868
Total IT spending for the County:
FY02 - $687M
FY03 - $703M
FY04 - $564M
The fiscal years end in June. The budget process sets the spending levels for the upcoming budget year in the March-June timeframe. So we see that a recession which ended in November 2001 did not affect County IT spending decisions until March 2003.
Overall LA County spending showed a very similar pattern.