BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


Arnold
Don't these use "virtual" currency?
I highly doubt we can get as much accuracy
out of fake money...the incentives just aren't there.
If markets look ahead, then they would seem to be saying that the Obama panic is on.
@Tushar
There has been a lot of research into the accuracy of virtual money prediction markets. The bottom line is that they can be just as accurate as real money ones. Google for "Does money matter: prediction markets" to find some good research.