Arnold Kling  

Futarchy in Camden, Maine

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Stossel and Me... Stock Markets and Social Secur...

Do you like prediction markets as much as Bryan and Robin? Then try Pop!Tech prediction market.


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CATEGORIES: Game Theory



COMMENTS (3 to date)
Tushar writes:

Arnold
Don't these use "virtual" currency?
I highly doubt we can get as much accuracy
out of fake money...the incentives just aren't there.

JSBolton writes:

If markets look ahead, then they would seem to be saying that the Obama panic is on.

Nigel Eccles writes:

@Tushar

There has been a lot of research into the accuracy of virtual money prediction markets. The bottom line is that they can be just as accurate as real money ones. Google for "Does money matter: prediction markets" to find some good research.

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