October 25, 2009
Political Economy, Banking, and Capitalism
October 25, 2009
The Longstanding Debate over National Defense
October 25, 2009
Tyler's Triple on Health Care
October 25, 2009
Chauffered America, Strip Mall America
October 25, 2009
The Incomparable Tullock
October 24, 2009
The Stimulus and the Economy
October 24, 2009
Randian India?
October 24, 2009
A Simple Proof that "National Defense" is Not a Public Good
October 23, 2009
SuperFreakonomics, II
Isn't there a logical problem here?
If we assume that those who are married are less likely than those who are not to have had multiple partners over the last five years, aren't you really just showing that if one is married one is more likely to have more children than if one is single?
Maybe age serves as a proxy here, but not necessarily. Is there a way to control for marital status?
(You already pointed out the fact that this particular variable shows only a five year window, so doesn't really measure total sexual partners. I don't think controlling for age fixes that problem.)
Why are you impressed? That seems pretty obvious to me and probably many alphas of the world.
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
don't ask bryan to do your work for you, do it yourself:
http://sda.berkeley.edu/cgi-bin/hsda?harcsda+gss08
but last i heard it applied to women too.
I would guess that number of children you don't know about is positively correlated with number of partners.
Audacious Epigone and Inductivist wrote about this a while back.
Epigone also looked at women. And Inductivist also looked at trends over time.
I would guess that number of abortions is positively correlated to number of sexual partners.
Sex with multiple partners = more STDs and more pregnancies.
Pregnancies + no steady parters = more abortions and fewer births.
I did my OB/GYN clinical clerkship in a Brooklyn neighborhood that was becoming a slum. I don't need survey data to know that the above statements are correct.