ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax
SHARE
Isn't there a logical problem here?
If we assume that those who are married are less likely than those who are not to have had multiple partners over the last five years, aren't you really just showing that if one is married one is more likely to have more children than if one is single?
Maybe age serves as a proxy here, but not necessarily. Is there a way to control for marital status?
(You already pointed out the fact that this particular variable shows only a five year window, so doesn't really measure total sexual partners. I don't think controlling for age fixes that problem.)
Why are you impressed? That seems pretty obvious to me and probably many alphas of the world.
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
don't ask bryan to do your work for you, do it yourself:
http://sda.berkeley.edu/cgi-bin/hsda?harcsda+gss08
but last i heard it applied to women too.
I would guess that number of children you don't know about is positively correlated with number of partners.
Audacious Epigone and Inductivist wrote about this a while back.
Epigone also looked at women. And Inductivist also looked at trends over time.
I would guess that number of abortions is positively correlated to number of sexual partners.
Sex with multiple partners = more STDs and more pregnancies.
Pregnancies + no steady parters = more abortions and fewer births.
I did my OB/GYN clinical clerkship in a Brooklyn neighborhood that was becoming a slum. I don't need survey data to know that the above statements are correct.