BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program



Isn't there a logical problem here?
If we assume that those who are married are less likely than those who are not to have had multiple partners over the last five years, aren't you really just showing that if one is married one is more likely to have more children than if one is single?
Maybe age serves as a proxy here, but not necessarily. Is there a way to control for marital status?
(You already pointed out the fact that this particular variable shows only a five year window, so doesn't really measure total sexual partners. I don't think controlling for age fixes that problem.)
Why are you impressed? That seems pretty obvious to me and probably many alphas of the world.
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
Is the database restricted to heterosexuals? Is the database restricted to men (as I could easily imagine women with more sexual partners having more children)?
don't ask bryan to do your work for you, do it yourself:
http://sda.berkeley.edu/cgi-bin/hsda?harcsda+gss08
but last i heard it applied to women too.
I would guess that number of children you don't know about is positively correlated with number of partners.
Audacious Epigone and Inductivist wrote about this a while back.
Epigone also looked at women. And Inductivist also looked at trends over time.
I would guess that number of abortions is positively correlated to number of sexual partners.
Sex with multiple partners = more STDs and more pregnancies.
Pregnancies + no steady parters = more abortions and fewer births.
I did my OB/GYN clinical clerkship in a Brooklyn neighborhood that was becoming a slum. I don't need survey data to know that the above statements are correct.