ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax


But I wanted to publish in "Everyone Thinks I'm Insano Home Journal"...
It may be a funny line, but it's a dishonest argument.
Hayek explained how there was a many-many problem blocking the reduction of sensory categories like "blue" to physical categories like particular wave lengths of light.
This argument is also in Kuhn, and similar many-many arguments against reduction are found in David Hull.
This stuff is hard and a lot of people don't understand the lessons to be learned from it for all sorts of intellectual endeavors.
The same can be said about Hayek's knowledge problem and the incompetence of most economists when it comes to understanding the lessons to be learned from Hayek's work on in this area. Compare Kirzner on Hurwicz' Nobel Prize winning work largely inspired by Hayek's work in his area.
Caplan's "blue sky" argument is essentially dishonest because what actually happens is more like this: "most people say the world is flat, you've given an argument for why the world is round and you've calculated its circumference -- and in doing this your argument has the exact same form as an argument first provided by Hayek (only it turns out Hayek did it better, and you are falsifying your answer in particular ways, such as c,d, and f)."
Or it goes something like this, "most people say the world is flat, but you've produced sophisticated technical work explicitly referencing Hayek or explicitly inspired by a train of work in economics by Hayek's adding at the margin to an assumed background understanding of the larger explanatory project of economics were Hayek's work sits in the middle of that background understanding -- except there are unsolved problems getting your formal technical work to work consistently with this background understanding -- and some of these problems are actually insuperable, and the better job of it is actually done by the assumed larger background explanatory project, rather than by your fancy formalism (which is GREAT as a project in publish or perish, but not so much at contributing to the larger project we actually care about)."
"
"the sky is blue" can also simply mean "hey, welcome to the party -- the water is fine and the pool is big, have fun .. ".
[Can people who aren't Greg Ransom still comment?]
Toward the end of the "Blue Sky" passage, Bryan starts waving his right hand in a big circle. Was this an attempt to cheat by using Jedi mind tricks? If so, did it work? Or was the audience mostly Toydarians?
The argument seems to be that one should go with the more popular theory, even when it is wrong.
Re: "Markets are a discovery process"
"Competition as a discovery procedure" is the (translated) title of a Hayek's lecture given in 1968.
And it starts with:
I'll keep my statement about the appropriateness of the "Blue Sky" putdown until I watch the debate. If.
"we describe the role of entrepreneurs as overcoming resistance to change. "
I think I have to disagree there. The role of entrepreneurs is one of a genetic algorithm for finding the right answer. Entrepreneurs push and take the risks. We end up with winners and losers. The winners continue and carry on their ideas and methods.
This is why bailouts, corruption, and politicization are so incredibly bad and dangerous for the economy. They change the economic calculation that is happening, by changing what it means to be a winner and a loser.