BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


Federal deficit spending (fiscal stimulus) funds net non-govt sector savings. If it is too small to fund that savings need, you see AD continuing to fall. If it is in excess of that savings need, you will see inflation.
Monetary policy, which merely rearranges the term structure of assets at the fund, has no impact. As we can see from the reality of the past 12 months. (Although I can be persuaded that zero interest rates are also sapping aggregate demand as they drain interest income from the non-Govt sector).
The "multiplier" is a fiction because bank lending is not reserve constrained, and that is all monetary policy tinkers with.
but winterspeak am I wrong to think that the Fed can still buy assets and that as long they can buy treasury bonds they are not constrained in conventional monetary policy. Beyond treasuries there are other assets to buy like corporate bond stocks etc. It seems to me that there are plenty of ways to get money into the economy through monetary policy that will not create a huge debt for tax payers. Am I wrong?
Floccina: the fed is not a currency issuer unlike the treasury. The fed can alter the term structure of assets, and can take them onto it's balance sheet. But it cannot create pure bank reserves (paid in equity) the way the treasury does through fiscal deficit spending
look at it this way. Of you have more debt than you want, and cannot afford the det you have, you will not be interested in taking on additional debt via different instruments no matter the interest rate. What you want is to simply pay some of your debt down and only the treasury can help with that
Or simply refinance your existing debt at current rates.
The mortgage industry is playing a dangerous game or chicken not offering current rates to existing debt. If the industry writes people off at 4%, why would they pay 6%.
Winterspeak,
The Fed could buy my debt and burn the paper. Wouldn't that help me in the same way?
YANCEY: Yup. What you're describing though is really a Treasury function, as the Fed can just swap one liability for another, it cannot extinguish liability. The Treasury would act through the Fed, as the Treasury uses the Fed as its bank.
This would be properly called "fiscal stimulus" and the stimulus recipient would be you.
Winterspeak: Bank lending is not reserve constrained? Now, or always?
Ritwik: Always.
You cannot say anything meaningful about the financial system in general, or this crises in particular without understanding that:
1. Bank lending is not (never) reserve constrained
2. The Federal Deficit funds net non-govt sector savings