ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax


The idea behind regulation is to homogenize behavior towards areas that discourage systematic risk (an extreme example is banning risk trading altogether; obviously, this prevents systematic risk).
Friedman denies that this is possible in practice:
If their ideas are good, we all gain; if they are bad, we all lose. The whole system crashed when the financial regulators’ ideas turned out to be bad, but this is inevitable unless modern societies are so simple that solutions to social and economic problems are self-evident to a generalist voter, or even a specialist regulator.
which is certainly a possible assumption to make, but given this assumption his conclusion is trivial. And it is precisely this assumption which is under contention, isn't it? Those who support regulation obviously don't think that they are incapable of foreseeing what effects their ideas might have - or, at least, that they are less capable than a market and all its potential failures.
Besides, once someone buys into J Friedman's argument, we have the consequence that 1) political attempts at deregulation will be equally unpredictable and hopeless [see also: any one of the numerous tax-reduction legislation during the past decade that did not, in fact, cut tax] 2) it's turtles all the way down. Let's all become Rothbardian anarchists, the state is doomed.
I pointed out to my senators and representatives that attempts at risk regulation will only homogenize risk and thus make tail risk even more dangerous and intense. It will also tend to increase the amount of contagion.