BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


I'm really surprised Bryan that you of all people would have had a "gut feeling" about something for which there is a 25% chance (i.e. 3 kids of same sex).
I still suspect it's your parenting style that made them turn out all boys.
"Bottom line: If you want girl, marrying someone from a family with a low male/female ratio won't help you"
Damn! And I let the otherwise perfect girl go out of my life solely based on this now-I-see fallacious reasoning!! (I recall our parting: "It's not you, darling; it's your family's high male/female ratio...")
In regards to sperm sortation, how does anybody prevent the same problems that are currently happening with adoption? Won't this cause a large increase in the female population in the US, possibly resulting in widespread polygamy? Oh wait, I'm a guy. I'm supposed to be in favor of this.
Problem 2:
What about the 9% of Johns who should have been Janes? What about the 24% of Janes who should have been Johns? When parents normally roll the dice, it's 50/50 and nobody needs to know. But with this procedure, there's a record out there, and the child will have access to it. How does any parent go about telling their kid that they were a mistake?
David C - don't many parents now have kids that were a mistake? Lots of people around nowdays were born because of a contraception failure. Before modern contraception, lots of people were conceived before the wedding, or without a wedding, which was, at least in the West, a mistake back then.
Or take the case where one person is widowed and then remarries and has kids with the new spouse, what does that imply to the kids about their existance? (Assume that the widower did not kill their late spouse in self-defence).
"it takes a man to make a man" ... ; )
Tracy W,
A kid doesn't necessarily need to know about a contraception failure. But I'll grant that there are similar circumstances already around. My question is why increase the number of people in said circustances.
Bryan, I only skimmed the article at the link you provided, but it seems to me that the conclusions are drawn ACROSS the significant sample, not WITHIN FAMILIES. Let me know if that is incorrect.
Your article reports the best fitting model of the class of models you considered. I wonder what the results would be if you compared models that differed in their number of adjustable parameters, and didn't just look at the best fitting model (which is bound to be pretty complex), and instead used a model evaluation criterion like AIC (the Akaike information criterion). What would the bottom line be then?
ES