BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program
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worst. bet. ever.
worst bet ever for whom?
disclosure: I currently do not have any risk capital allocated to this contract, but might nibble now.
It seems more likely than not to me that Arnold is safe for this election season.
I have to imagine that 2012 is the year that Caplan wins his bet...
...unless, of course, the US no longer exists as a going entity by Election Day, 2012.
(Remember how quickly USSR collapsed?)
Could this bet be essentially meaningless? The common man will be snookered into voting for a Republican and thinking that things will change. We'll get a lot more spying and warring and slightly less health care socialism. Ah, the glories of democracy.
I wish I could have taken this bet with Mr. Kling.
No chance you lose this one Bryan. The current political climate aside, it would appear that the political landscape is not at equilibrium in the U.S. when one side controls all aspects of the federal government. Markets tend to over correct so we seem to always end up with a political pendulum swing that occurs every few years.
Just my $.02