ARNOLD KLING
August 14, 2011
The Top Political Contributors
August 11, 2011
Gender and the New Commanding Heights
August 11, 2011
Jamie Galbraith Makes an Assumption
August 11, 2011
Macroeconometrics: The Science of Hubris
August 10, 2011
Real and Nominal Bond Yields
BRYAN CAPLAN
August 14, 2011
The Effect of Thumb Sucking on Income
August 12, 2011
The Voice of Cold, Hard Truth to All Would-Be Educators
August 12, 2011
Ability, Morality, and Prosperity: A Paper and a Report
August 11, 2011
The Theory of Time and Frittering
August 10, 2011
Male Variance and the Remnants of the Gender Gap
DAVID HENDERSON
August 9, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken", Part Two
August 8, 2011
Hayek in "Unbroken"
August 5, 2011
James Bovard on the Peace Corps
August 4, 2011
Summers Way Off on FDR and 1941
August 3, 2011
The "Amazon" Tax
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worst. bet. ever.
worst bet ever for whom?
disclosure: I currently do not have any risk capital allocated to this contract, but might nibble now.
It seems more likely than not to me that Arnold is safe for this election season.
I have to imagine that 2012 is the year that Caplan wins his bet...
...unless, of course, the US no longer exists as a going entity by Election Day, 2012.
(Remember how quickly USSR collapsed?)
Could this bet be essentially meaningless? The common man will be snookered into voting for a Republican and thinking that things will change. We'll get a lot more spying and warring and slightly less health care socialism. Ah, the glories of democracy.
I wish I could have taken this bet with Mr. Kling.
No chance you lose this one Bryan. The current political climate aside, it would appear that the political landscape is not at equilibrium in the U.S. when one side controls all aspects of the federal government. Markets tend to over correct so we seem to always end up with a political pendulum swing that occurs every few years.
Just my $.02