BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


I wish people knew what a tautology is. In a sense, "MV = PY" is a tautology. But statements about "MV = PY" are not necessarily tautologies, and since it is primarily these statements that concern us, that "MV = PY" is wholly irrelevant. "F = ma" is also a tautology y'know.
Karl Popper popularised the idea that tautologies were scientific no-nos. Unfortunately, few people seem to understand the context of that prohibition.
"MV = PY" is an abstract object with tenuous connections to reality. By itself, the equation of exchange entails nothing about reality. It is not an empirical claim. Its truth or falsity are determined only by the rules of the formal language in which it is expressed.
If money, prices, and production were observed to behave contrary to their corresponding variables in the equation of exchange, then the equation of exchange would not be shown false. It is a tautology. It cannot be false. However, statements about the equation of the exchange may be false, such as that it describes the actually existing phenomena that we observe, may be false, because they are not necessarily tautologies.
Okay, I'll read the rest of the post now.