BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


See page 5 and 6 of our report on alternative financial services: http://www.usfinancialcapability.org/download/412306-Prohibitions-Price-Caps-and-Disclosures.pdf
We didn't find any experimental tests that I can recall, but there are several quasi-experimental cases that may be of interest to you. Some set-ups are more convincing than others, but that's the nature of the quasi-experimental literature. It's generally messy so you look to corroborate findings.
Here's a good paper in favor of payday loans:
Do payday loans hurt borrowers?
Basically....in states where payday loans are outlawed borrowers don't turn to traditional forms of credit. They pay more bounced check fees and similar charges. Their credit score also goes down because of late payments, squeezing off access to lower-cost forms of credit.
Here's an interesting paper with a lot of data on two payday lending companies:
Information Asymmetries in Payday Lending
Both are good reads.
Arnold,
One of my old professors actually did something close to this. Here's the blog entry (link to a paper there).
http://www.creditslips.org/creditslips/2008/03/do-payday-loa-1.html
To quote the methodology: "Payday loans are approved/denied based on a special credit score (different from a FICO score). Using personal bankruptcy filings as a proxy for financial stress, we compare filing rates for individuals in Texas who were just barely approved to borrow on payday loans with the rates of those who were just barely denied."
That experiment won't work. You need to randomly grant or deny payday loans to people who would otherwise have all been granted the loan. Nobody cares about the effects of payday loans on people who normally aren't able to get them. Also, good luck getting that experiment done. Payday loans are applied for by people in a state of high financial distress. How can you get your "denied" group to no cheat and go get a payday loan from someone else? Experimentation is great, but it's not always feasible.
Why should the government allow payday loans? Usury should be illegal! The poor should use pawn shops and loan sharks.
Seriously, the controversy over pay day loans strikes me as eliminating poverty by outlawing the poor.
The measure of "better off" is financial stress?
That might be how you or I would make this subjective determination, but it may not be how the applicants view it. It if it were, I imagine many of them wouldn't find themselves in the position to be applying for payday loans.
Payday lending is a great example where some groups of people cannot seem to resist the temptation to impose their personal value preferences on other groups.