BRYAN CAPLAN
May 7, 2013
Keynesian Bets: What's Out There
May 6, 2013
Keynesian Bets Bleg
May 6, 2013
The Pyramid of Macroeconomic Insight and Virtue
May 2, 2013
A Natalist Provision
May 1, 2013
I Was a Teenage Misanthrope
DAVID HENDERSON
May 5, 2013
John Thacker on Vaccinations and the Sequester
May 3, 2013
Chef Rudy's Virtues Project
May 2, 2013
My take on Reinhart and Rogoff
May 1, 2013
Medicare Kills a Program


Maybe I'm naive, but I thought good managers understood that point very well. You never know exactly how things evolve, but you make estimates (uncertainty) and add sensitivity analysis to figure out how badly things would go if your estimate turns out to be wrong (ambiguity). But I have a feeling that true risk management (giving ambiguity more than lip service) is neither appreciated nor rewarded. All we want is a model output that gives us the answer we wanted in the first place. But that`s not risk management by any means...