Bryan Caplan  

3 Questions for Robin

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The Age of Em: Reply to... Misallocation under Rent Contr...
On a 0-10 scale, 0 being hell, 10 being paradise, how do you rate:

1. Earth as it currently exists?

2. The Age on Em as you describe it?

3. The Age of Em if it ends in human extinction within one objective year?

Inquiring minds want to know!




COMMENTS (3 to date)
Robin Hanson writes:

Let me emphasize yet again that I present myself in the book as an expert on facts, not on values, so my personal values should not be relevant to the quality of my book.

The fact that you ask #3 suggests you seek an integral over the value of the entire future. In which case I guess I need to interpret #1 as no age of em or any form of AI ever appearing, and it is hard to interpret "hell" as I don't know how many people suffer it for how long.

But if 0 is the worst case and 10 is the best case, then humans continuing without any AI until they naturally go extinct is a 2, while making it to the em stage and therefore having a decent chances to continue further is a 5. Biological humans going extinct a year later is 4.9.

Robin Hanson writes:

Let me emphasize yet again that I present myself in the book as an expert on facts, not on values, so my personal values should not be relevant to the quality of my book.

The fact that you ask #3 suggests you seek an integral over the value of the entire future. In which case I guess I need to interpret #1 as no age of em or any form of AI ever appearing, and it is hard to interpret "hell" as I don't know how many people suffer it for how long.

But if 0 is the worst case and 10 is the best case, then humans continuing without any AI until they naturally go extinct is a 2, while making it to the em stage and therefore having a decent chances to continue further is a 5. Biological humans going extinct a year later is 4.9.

Spotted Toad writes:

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