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June 26, 2008

Arbitrage Challenge



Suppose the following: 1. You know now that the price of oil will be flat for five years, then fall......MORE

June 27, 2006

Stock Indexing Empire Strikes Back



John C. Bogle and Burton G. Malkiel write, We concede that there is some evidence, based on numbers compiled by......MORE

July 19, 2005

Hamilton on Bernanke on Bubbles



James Hamilton leaps to defend Ben Bernanke's skepticism about housing bubbles. As a guy who bought a Northern Virginia home......MORE

October 20, 2004

Fama vs. Thaler



Stephen Bainbridge judges the contest. As for regulators, because the ECMH [Efficient Capital Markets Hypothesis] is often brought to bear......MORE

October 1, 2004

Oil Bubble?



Any time a price increases rapidly, somebody argues that there is a bubble (although I have not heard anyone proclaim......MORE

July 12, 2004

The Wisdom of Crowds?



Are "predictions markets" more effective than other mechanisms at making forecasts and decisions? This issue has been given a lot......MORE

May 20, 2004

Backwardation



As of May 20th, the June 2004 futures contract for light crude oil was at $41.66, while the June 2005......MORE

October 1, 2003

Various Articles



Posting here will be infrequent until later in October. Meanwhile, here are some links that may be of interest. Is......MORE

July 3, 2003

Are Small Investors Irrational?



Hal Varian's column cites research on the irrationality of small investors during the dotcom bubble. First, there were significant differences......MORE

June 18, 2003

Comment of the Week, 2003-06-18



On the topic of resisting efficient markets, 'rvman' wrote, Put all of your money in index funds. For five years,......MORE

June 16, 2003

Bond Market Bubble?



Followers of the market for U.S. government bonds have started tossing around the term "bond bubble" with increasing frequency. The......MORE

June 15, 2003

Resisting Efficient Markets



Columnist James Glassman discusses the Efficient Markets Hypothesis with John Allen Paolos, author of A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market.......MORE

April 29, 2003

Stock Market Regulation



'Jane Galt' casts doubt on the deterrence value of the settlement in which Wall Street investment firms agreed to pay......MORE

April 2, 2003

Comment of the Week, 2003-04-02



On the issue of index investing, Yasser Mawji wrote Surely there's a problem of aggregation that's inherent to index fund......MORE

March 27, 2003

Can you Beat the Market?



Financial columnist James Glassman touts a study by Joshua D. Coval, David A. Hirshleifer, and Tyler G. Shumway that shows......MORE

March 2, 2003

Inefficient Market?



If you believe in efficient markets, then you should be very skeptical of the rest of this post. Ohio State's......MORE

February 20, 2003

Stock Prices and Scandals



Jeff Madrick describes disparate economic views on whether stock prices should guide managers. The modern theory typically depends on the......MORE

February 19, 2003

The Risk Premium



Surfing while snowbound, somehow I started with this post on Asymmetrical Information and wound up reading this article by Robert......MORE


There are 18 entries listed in this category (Efficient Markets Hypothesis). The most recent are listed above. If there are more than 20, here are the rest:

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