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June 26, 2008Arbitrage ChallengeBryan CaplanSuppose the following: 1. You know now that the price of oil will be flat for five years, then fall......MORE June 27, 2006Stock Indexing Empire Strikes BackArnold KlingJohn C. Bogle and Burton G. Malkiel write, We concede that there is some evidence, based on numbers compiled by......MORE July 19, 2005Hamilton on Bernanke on BubblesBryan CaplanJames Hamilton leaps to defend Ben Bernanke's skepticism about housing bubbles. As a guy who bought a Northern Virginia home......MORE October 20, 2004Fama vs. ThalerArnold KlingStephen Bainbridge judges the contest. As for regulators, because the ECMH [Efficient Capital Markets Hypothesis] is often brought to bear......MORE October 1, 2004Oil Bubble?Arnold KlingAny time a price increases rapidly, somebody argues that there is a bubble (although I have not heard anyone proclaim......MORE July 12, 2004The Wisdom of Crowds?Arnold KlingAre "predictions markets" more effective than other mechanisms at making forecasts and decisions? This issue has been given a lot......MORE May 20, 2004BackwardationArnold KlingAs of May 20th, the June 2004 futures contract for light crude oil was at $41.66, while the June 2005......MORE October 1, 2003Various ArticlesArnold KlingPosting here will be infrequent until later in October. Meanwhile, here are some links that may be of interest. Is......MORE July 3, 2003Are Small Investors Irrational?Arnold KlingHal Varian's column cites research on the irrationality of small investors during the dotcom bubble. First, there were significant differences......MORE June 18, 2003Comment of the Week, 2003-06-18Arnold KlingOn the topic of resisting efficient markets, 'rvman' wrote, Put all of your money in index funds. For five years,......MORE June 16, 2003Bond Market Bubble?Arnold KlingFollowers of the market for U.S. government bonds have started tossing around the term "bond bubble" with increasing frequency. The......MORE June 15, 2003Resisting Efficient MarketsArnold KlingColumnist James Glassman discusses the Efficient Markets Hypothesis with John Allen Paolos, author of A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market.......MORE April 29, 2003Stock Market RegulationArnold Kling'Jane Galt' casts doubt on the deterrence value of the settlement in which Wall Street investment firms agreed to pay......MORE April 2, 2003Comment of the Week, 2003-04-02Arnold KlingOn the issue of index investing, Yasser Mawji wrote Surely there's a problem of aggregation that's inherent to index fund......MORE March 27, 2003Can you Beat the Market?Arnold KlingFinancial columnist James Glassman touts a study by Joshua D. Coval, David A. Hirshleifer, and Tyler G. Shumway that shows......MORE March 2, 2003Inefficient Market?Arnold KlingIf you believe in efficient markets, then you should be very skeptical of the rest of this post. Ohio State's......MORE February 20, 2003Stock Prices and ScandalsArnold KlingJeff Madrick describes disparate economic views on whether stock prices should guide managers. The modern theory typically depends on the......MORE February 19, 2003The Risk PremiumArnold KlingSurfing while snowbound, somehow I started with this post on Asymmetrical Information and wound up reading this article by Robert......MORE There are 18 entries listed in this category (Efficient Markets Hypothesis). The most recent are listed above. If there are more than 20, here are the rest:
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