Bryan Caplan and David Henderson

Supply-side Economics

A Category Archive (40 entries)

What about Asia?

Growth: Causal Factors
Scott Sumner
Thomas Piketty's book is focused on wealth inequality, but he offers opinions on a wide variety of topics. The vast majority of those opinions are left wing, and in my view most are wrong. Here's one example (p. 481): Modern... MORE

Lefty's Laffer Curve

Taxation
David Henderson
Golfer Phil Mickelson, aka "Lefty," recently hinted that he was thinking of leaving California because of the high tax rates there that, combined with federal income and payroll taxes, make his tax rate (I'm pretty sure he meant marginal, not... MORE

Bryan takes me to task for my prediction that free market airline security would still be rigorous and intrusive.  His prediction: ..here's one massive cost-cutting, convenience-raising change I'd predict in a free market: Profiling.  Private security firms would still claim to... MORE

The Outlook for New York, Continued

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
The New York Times reports, The storm damage had a synergy of its own. Efforts to pump floodwaters from subway and automobile tunnels were slowed by electrical shortages. Hastily arranged car pools became bogged down on highways and city streets... MORE

The Outlook for New York

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
If there are no objections, I am going to interrupt my non-blogging to offer a downbeat economic prognosis for New York City in the wake of the storm. I can imagine that the disruption to patterns of sustainable specialization and... MORE

Questions I've asked

Fiscal Policy
Garett Jones
1.  Will Treasury bondholders run our government? Follow-up questions:a. Will they run it better than we did?b. Do they run it already, as if by an invisible hand? I often ask myself, WWBD? And then I ask whether that's close to... MORE

Me on WGN, Chicago

Taxation
David Henderson
Last week, I was interviewed for 16 minutes by Mike McConnell on WGN, Chicago. He was a cut above in his understanding of the various economic issues. My test for whether it's working with the host is whether he invites... MORE

Unfair Measure of the Laffer Curve

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Nick Schulz links to a post by Tino that makes the point that in spite of much lower tax rates, the U.S. government collects more tax revenue per capita than do European governments. If all else were equal, this would... MORE

More on Supply-Side Economics

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
On yesterday's post, Bob Murphy asks: David, what exactly do you mean by saying tax rate cuts didn't increase revenues? Tax revenues did in fact go up (eventually), right? So I assume you mean they didn't go up more than... MORE

Bartlett on Supply-Side Economics, Continued

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
Three days ago I posted on part of Bruce Bartlett's excellent chapter, "The Rise and Fall of Supply-Side Economics," in his book, The New American Economy. I promised to get to the fall part. First, though, there's more interesting content... MORE

Bruce Bartlett on Supply-Side Economics

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
Bruce Bartlett's The New American Economy is currently my "Starbuck's book," i.e., the book I keep in my car and read a few pages of every time I'm in line at Starbuck's. I'm almost through and it's really quite good.... MORE

Alan Reynolds on Top Tax Rates

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
In today's Wall Street Journal, Alan Reynolds has an excellent piece on how much revenue can be expected from the Obama tax rate increases to pay for Obamacare. Bottom line: much less than Obama estimates. Reason: elasticity of taxable income... MORE

Marginal Tax Rates Will Rise

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
As I have been saying for the last month or so, when I saw the details of the tax rebate (and I'm sure other marginalists have been saying so too), under the "stimulus" bill that President Obama will sign today,... MORE

Obama's New Deal

Regulation
David Henderson
On a recent talk show, I made the point that although Obama's fiscal "stimulus" is likely to destroy wealth, at least he is not making four major mistakes that Herbert Hoover and FDR made: (1) substantially raising tariffs (Hoover with... MORE

Finally, Some Good Economic News

Supply-side Economics
David Henderson
From today's Wall Street Journal, an article titled, "IRS Audits of Large Companies Decline for 3rd Year in Row." The article goes on to say: According to 2008 IRS enforcement data released Monday, the IRS audited 15.3% of returns of... MORE

Prescott on Tax Cuts

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
In this essay, I explain 2004 economics Nobel Laureate Edward Prescott's views that the Bush tax cuts were too small. Prescott re-casts the trade-off as between "market time" and "non-market time." In addition to TV and Bon-Bons, you spend some... MORE

Economic Policy Analysis

Growth: Causal Factors
Arnold Kling
Whoever is writing the lead editorials for the Washington Post (I suspect Sebastian Mallaby) on economic policy issues in this year's election is providing pieces that are highly educational. Today's editorial is called The Growth Mystery. we don't know how... MORE

Reagan's Economics in Context

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
I decided to put my thoughts into a longer essay. When Ronald Reagan defeated Carter's re-election bid, "incomes policies" were a proven failure. Notwithstanding Milton Friedman's comments quoted above, by 1980 it took a lot less courage to stand by... MORE

Ronald Reagan's Economics

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Jane Galt writes, High inflation was the result of a dozen years of bad fiscal and monetary policy under two Republicans -- Nixon and Ford -- and two Democrats -- Johnson and Carter -- that was brought under control only... MORE

Welfare State Free Lunch?

Fiscal Policy
Arnold Kling
In his New York Times column last week, Jeffrey Madrick referred to the work of Peter Lindert on the ability of countries to grow in spite of welfare state distortions. Lindert's argument can be found in Why the Welfare State... MORE

The Budget Menu

Fiscal Policy
Arnold Kling
In the essay I referred to in my previous post, I also write A President who has only added to future entitlement obligations ought to be judged as having acted to increase taxes. To call this Administration a tax cutter... MORE

Trade Deficit, Saving, and Tax Policy

International Macroeconomics: Exchange Rates, International Debt, etc.
Arnold Kling
I argue that our trade deficit is really a savings deficit. Increasing exports relative to imports is not a matter of beating up on China to live up to its commitments in the World Trade Organization. It is not a... MORE

Over-worked or Over-taxed?

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Americans work more than Europeans. Do we work too much, or does Europe tax work too much? Edward Prescott argues the latter. Americans on a per person aged 15-64 basis work in the market sector 50 percent more than do... MORE

Economic Arguments

Regulation and Subsidies
Arnold Kling
A few days ago, controversial radio personality Rush Limbaugh created a controversy. As a commentator on a football pre-game show, he said (1) The Philadelphia Eagles' quarterback was overrated by others in the media. (2) The reason that the quarterback... MORE

Friedman Interview

Economics of Education
Arnold Kling
John Hawkins' interview of Milton Friedman touches on many subjects. Friedman is not terribly worried about Social Security. we're a very strong country, lots of able people, lots of active entrepreneurs, and so the Social Security system will be a... MORE

The Budget Debate

Social Security
Arnold Kling
The Congressional Budget Office provides an analysis of the long-term Budget outlook. The projections also assume for analytical purposes that aggregate federal revenues will level out at 19 percent of GDP in 2020, reflecting the higher end of the range... MORE

Politics vs. Economics, II

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
(Note: this continues the discussion from Politics vs. Economics.) Another topic on which politics and economics can be separated is "supply-side tax cuts." The meaning of this phrase has changed somewhat over the years. During the Reagan era, a supply-side... MORE

Politics vs. Economics

Growth: Causal Factors
Arnold Kling
On one of the comment threads, a reader asked me if I disagreed with the economics of Lawrence Kudlow. "Honestly, I never thought he had any to disagree with," was how I began my reply. Let me revise and extend... MORE

Libertarian Manifesto

Growth: Consequences
Arnold Kling
Irving Kristol recently wrote a neoconservative manifesto. It is hopeful, not lugubrious; forward-looking, not nostalgic; and its general tone is cheerful, not grim or dyspeptic. Its 20th-century heroes tend to be TR, FDR, and Ronald Reagan. Such Republican and conservative... MORE

Wesbury on Tax Cuts

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Brian Wesbury makes a supply-side case for tax cuts. One point he makes that I agree with is that when we think of the government "crowding out" the private sector, we should focus on spending rather than taxes: Spending must... MORE

Liquidity Trap or Statism Trap?

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
In this essay, I take issue with Paul Krugman's claim that the liquidity trap is relevant to Japan and the United States. Krugman has learned the wrong lessons. He thinks that the bank bailouts are a good thing, that Japan's... MORE

Government Overgrowth, II

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Was the stock market boom good for New York? Not according to Megan McArdle, otherwise known as 'Jane Galt'. in an era of prosperity, city spending grew an astonishing $5.6 billion, or 25% - right up to the capacity of... MORE

Temporary Dividend Tax Cut?

Fiscal Policy
Arnold Kling
Jacob Levy criticizes the Senate's proposed temporary tax cut on dividends. The arguments in favor of repealing the dividend tax have to do with removing distortions from the capital markets and from the incentives faced by corporations, and with improving... MORE

Government Overgrowth

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
One fascinating phenomenon is that when government grows so large and its interest groups so powerful, it threatens to crowd out the private sector. This is a concern in Israel, where a new economic plan that tries to limit government... MORE

Social Security Tax Cut?

Fiscal Policy
Arnold Kling
A proposal from former Labor Secretary Robert Reich: The best and the fastest way to get more money into the pockets of people who are likely to spend it quickly is to cut the taxes of average working people. Most... MORE

Spend Less on Education?

Productivity, Baumol's cost disease
Arnold Kling
Sometimes, an economist argues against conventional wisdom, as in this essay, where I question the view that the government needs to increase its spending on education. If we combine the limited extent to which education is a public good with... MORE

The Budget Debate, VIII

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Be careful what you wish for. Some supply-siders have asked for "dynamic scoring" of tax cuts, to take into account supply-side effects. The Congressional Budget Office has done this analysis. CBO's analysis suggests the proposals, on net, would probably increase... MORE

Supply-side Dissatisfaction, II

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
N. Gregory Mankiw, incoming chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, continues to take flak from supply-siders. In this essay, I discuss the latest attack, from The Wall Street Journal's Susan Lee (subscription required). Her objection to Mankiw is... MORE

Supply-side Dissatisfaction

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
Some folks are reportedly bitter about the appointment of Greg Mankiw to succeed Glenn Hubbard as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers. N. Gregory Mankiw, whom Mr. Bush nominated on Wednesday to lead his Council of Economic Advisers, wrote... MORE

The Case for Tax Cuts

Supply-side Economics
Arnold Kling
For an antidote to the interventionist Atlantic Monthly, see this open letter signed by a number of conservative economists. As a rule, government cannot create wealth or expand the economy. Only the private sector can do that. Government can, however,... MORE

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